Still, the coronavirus crisis has caused extreme market volatility
Americans’ retirement and investment portfolios would suffer under another president, and the economy wouldn’t be as strong as it is now, President Donald Trump said in remarks to reporters after the jobs report on Thursday.
Since November 2016, when Republican Trump claimed a surprise Electoral College win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
has risen roughly 45%, the S&P 500
has gained 47% and the Nasdaq Composite
is up nearly 100%, he said. “These are not numbers other presidents would have,” he said, observing that others might be more inclined to raise taxes.
‘Your 401(k) will drop down to nothing, and the stock market will drop down to nothing.’
— Donald Trump, on retirement- and investment-account ramifications of his not being president
He credited the growth of the stock market to his administration’s actions, including the federal government’s response to the coronavirus crisis. “This is not just luck,” he said. “This is a lot of talent.”
Two major Wall Street institutions in as many days, though, have effectively presented rebuttals, with Citigroup strategists saying Tuesday that Trump’s presumptive Democratic rival, Joe Biden, would bring a clearer and more rational approach to trade and less policy volatility overall and strategists at J.P. Morgan having stated a day earlier that a Biden presidency would have a neutral to positive stock-market impact.
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Of the monthly jobs data, Trump said this, according to a White House transcript: “These are not numbers made up by me; these are numbers.”
The stock market so far in 2020 has been, for investors, a wild ride. In February, when the first cases of the coronavirus were detected in the U.S., the stock market tumbled into correction territory, and in March it officially entered a bear market. States issued lockdowns, which shuttered businesses and cost workers their jobs or a portion of their earnings, and Americans began filing unemployment claims in droves.
Since then, the market has seen its share of ups and downs. In the three months following the initial market battering, the U.S. equity indexes rebounded, as many states successfully took aggressive action to flatten the curve of new coronavirus infections and hope formed that businesses could reopen and quickly resume near-normal operations. Rockier periods have emerged in response to economic reports, record levels of daily coronavirus cases in some states, and uncertainty over the future.
On the day when the payrolls data showed the unemployment rate declining from 13.3% in May to 11.1% in June, U.S. stocks notched sharp gains and have largely held those levels since, despite declines on Tuesday.
Throughout this period, retirement savers have been told not to panic. Volatility is normal, and if they have a financial plan from a professional adviser, it likely includes a cushion for those seeing their investments take a beating. The government expanded eligibility requirements for savers to withdraw or borrow from their retirement plans, though advisers have cautioned that option should be a last resort.
It’s too soon to tell what the longer-lasting impacts of the coronavirus crisis, and its effects on the economy, will be for retirement savers and retirees. Nearly everyone will be affected, whether they are high or lower earners, because of lower retirement-account balances and faltering job security, experts said.