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Market Snapshot: Dow closes lower as U.S. stocks retreat for a third straight trading day ahead of company earnings

U.S. stocks closed lower Tuesday, after wavering between small gains and losses earlier in the trading session, as inflation worries appeared to weigh on sentiment ahead of the unofficial start of third-quarter earnings season.

How did major indexes trade?
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    fell 117.72 points, or 0.3%, to close at 34,378.34.

  • The S&P 500
    SPX
    slipped by 10.54 points, or 0.2%, to finish at 4,350.65.

  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    declined 20.28 points, or 0.1%, to end at 14,465.92.

It was the third, straight day of losses for all three major indexes.

What drove the market?

With earnings season set to get under way on Wednesday, investors are worried that executives will report that supply-chain woes and inflation are chipping away at corporate profit, which could deliver a fresh hit to Wall Street sentiment.

“There’s a lot of consternation in the market right now circling around the growth outlook as it relates to the impact from higher energy prices” and bottlenecks in the global supply chain, said Jack Janasiewicz, lead portfolio strategist at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions, in a Tuesday phone interview.

“That filters right into the earnings season,” he said. “Everybody is sort of on pause waiting around to hear and see” from companies on how they’re faring amid higher costs and wages.

Read: How stock-market investors can make sense of supply-chain chaos

Earnings per share for S&P 500 constituents are forecast to grow 25% in the third quarter, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Second-quarter EPS grew a better-than-average 89%.

Earnings Watch: Earnings are headed for an all-time high, if supply-chain and staffing woes don’t get in the way

“Many companies that move or make things have been warning of profit pressures owing to rising input costs and supply chain related production shortfalls. This is reflected in prudent analyst consensus earnings per share estimates for the third quarter,” said David Bianco, chief investment officer for the Americas at DWS.

DWS still is forecasting a 4,400 level for the S&P 500 at the end of the year.

Investors will be attuned to how companies are digesting rising costs for labor and other inputs, but the hit to margins may end up being less than feared, Tom Plumb, portfolio manager of the Plumb Balanced Fund
PLBBX,
told MarketWatch.

“Historically, the best type of investment is when you get something that melds cyclical with secular changes,” he said. “The thing were going to continue to see is investment in productivity-enhancing software and equipment” and companies that will benefit will be those that succeed in taking “labor content out of their cost structure.”

Read: The 2021 stock-market highs are ‘almost certainly’ in, unless earnings clear this bar

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund said it now sees global growth of 5.9% this year — down one-tenth of a percent from its July forecast — and then slowing to 4.9% growth in 2022. The IMF cut its U.S. growth estimate for 2021 by 1% to 6%, its German forecast by five-tenths to 3.1% and its Canadian forecast by six-tenths to 5.7%.

“Rosy growth forecasts” are coming down, said Frank Rybinski, chief macro strategist at Aegon Asset Management, in a phone interview Tuesday. But “we don’t think the brakes are being slammed on the economy.”

In his view, the economic recovery will continue as COVID-19 cases arising from the delta variant of the coronavirus subside. “We still see above-trend growth for many quarters,” said Rybinski.

Also see: Failing to bring Covid-19 under control will cost $5.3 trillion in lost global growth over next five years, IMF estimates

The National Federation of Independent Business early Tuesday said its optimism index slipped one point to 99.1 in September, the lowest reading since March, as small-business owners remained frustrated by shortages of supplies and skilled labor.

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On the labor-market front, U.S. job openings dropped to 10.4 million in August from an unprecedented 11.1 million in July, according to a government report Tuesday. A record number of workers quit in August as businesses struggle to fill jobs.

See: ‘I quit,’ a record number of U.S. workers are telling their bosses

Which companies were in focus?
  • General Motors Co.
    GM
    said it reached an agreement with Korea’s LG Electronics Inc.
    KR:066570
    over the costs of recalling Chevrolet Bolt electric vehicles and electric utility vehicles due to manufacturing defects in battery modules that LG supplied to GM. Shares of GM rose 1.5%.

  • Shares of Matson Inc.
    MATX
    jumped about 8.4% after the shipping company late Monday said that increased demand for its shipping services will lead to greater-than-expected profit. Matson added a second shipping route from China to Southern California in May 2020, then another one to Northern California earlier this year, known as the CCX.

  • Signet Jewelers Ltd.
    SIG
    announced the $490 million acquisition of Charlotte, N.C.-based Diamonds Direct USA Inc., a jewelry retailer that is “off-mall” and adds to Signet’s bridal business. Signet shares slipped 0.5%.

  • CarMax Inc.
    KMX
    said Tuesday it planned to hire 3,700 employees by the end of the year. Shares climbed 1.8%.

What did other markets do?
  • The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    fell 2.5 basis points to 1.579%. Yields and debt prices move in opposite directions.

  • The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
    DXY,
    a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, edged up 0.2%.

  • U.S. oil futures ended higher, with the benchmark
    CL00
    rising nearly 0.2% to settle at $80.64 a barrel. Gold futures
    GC00
    rose 0.2% to settle at $1,759.30 an ounce.

  • The Stoxx Europe 600
    XX:SXXP
    closed 0.1% lower, while London’s FTSE 100
    UK:UKX
    fell 0.2%.

  • The Shanghai Composite
    CN:SHCOMP
    dropped 1.2%, while the Hang Seng Index
    HK:HSI
    fell 1.4% in Hong Kong and Japan’s Nikkei 225
    JP:NIK
    lost 0.9%.

—Steve Goldstein contributed to this article.

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